Thursday, August 9, 2007

NEXT IN LINE


It seems that the rest of the fertilizer companies who have been trading like 1999 Internet stocks are making tops today. Pot, above attempted a break out yesterday but today it sells below the breakout point of $86.74 with a double top forming. On a failed break out attempt usually what happens is that the price fails very fast to the next support line which is around $76 as the most recent buyer who positioned for the break out bail out and longer term holders are strategically take profits. I put a short on the stock today at $87.56 with a stop above 90 and so far so good. I will probably short some more on any intraday rally tomorrow.





MOS, also has the same pattern. Another failed break out.

2 comments:

Mike said...

good call on the ferts

i bought tnh at 100 and now in panic mode as it is 81. guessing will never see 100 here again even long term?

took out my money from pot a few days ago, watched it climb as market tanked but today it is coming down-do you see it hitting around 76 and do you think that could be a good entry or do you see it falling even much further down like tnh did?

thanks,
mike

zeus111 said...

Mike the market is possibly putting a major top at this juncture. We can get a correction the 10-15% type or we can get a bear market the 20-24% type. I would no mess around with pot at $76. You sold close to the top which is great. Just keep the cash
and wait. Even a leading stock in a general market correction can lose anywhere from 33-50% so the risks are high on pot even at 76.